A Minecraft Movie Box Office Day 1

A Minecraft Movie Box Office Day 1 protection: Our analysis projects “A Minecraft Movie” to gross $35 million to $40 million on its opening day in the U.S., including Thursday previews. The study suggests that the film’s opening day global gross could be between $63 million and $74 million, taking into account domestic and international weekend estimates.

What’s unexpected is that Thursday previews brought in over $7 million, with some sources saying it could reach $9 million. This means that despite mixed early reviews, there is early interest.

Detailed Analysis of A Minecraft Movie Box Office Day 1

“A Minecraft Movie,” scheduled for release on April 4, 2025, will be a crowning achievement for fans of the iconic video game that has sold more than 300 million copies worldwide since its release in 2011. Directed by Jared Hess, it features an all-star cast including Jason Momoa and Jack Black. Coming soon. This research note provides a comprehensive analysis of first-day box office revenue projections in the United States and worldwide based on available data and industry trends.

Reflecting the uncertainty inherent in box office predictions, industry expectations about a film’s opening-weekend box office success vary. According to Deadline, the film is expected to gross $65 million in the U.S. and $65 million overseas, bringing its worldwide total to $130 million. Variety magazine predicts the film will gross between $70 and $80 million in the U.S., possibly $90 million, more than $65 million overseas, and $135 to $150 million worldwide.

Box office experts are more optimistic, estimating the film will earn between $85 million and $100 million in its domestic opening weekend. Given this, it seems likely to be released as a blockbuster.

According to Deadline, early tracking data confirmed those expectations, showing that “Underrated Awakening” ranked 13th, below “Super Mario Bros. The Movie” (No. 20) but above “Detective Pikachu” (2019, which debuted with $54.3 million). The film is popular among women under 25 and the female core of Minecraft, further reinforcing these predictions.

Thursday Previews and Initial Indicators

Thursday’s preview earnings will be a key data point as an early indicator of opening day performance. According to Deadline, the film has grossed over $7 million since previews began at 3 p.m. Thursday.

However, on April 4, 2025, @GlobalBoxOff updated the ex-post amount to $9 million, indicating strong early interest. This discrepancy highlights the volatility of early reports on box office collections, but for consistency, we accept a minimum figure of $7 million, and often use the $9 million figure resulting from the latest update.

These preview numbers are remarkable when compared to similar films. For example, “Sonic the Hedgehog 2” earned $6.25 million in previews on Thursday and $26.8 million on its first day (including previews). Meanwhile, ‘Minions: Rise of Clu’ earned $10.75 million in previews and $48 million on its first day. These comparisons show that preview revenue can be a stronger indicator of first-day success.

Estimating first-day box office receipts in the United States

In order to estimate first-day box office receipts in the United States, a formula was developed to calculate the first-day receipts for the first weekend receipts for the films being compared.

Sonic the Hedgehog 2 grossed $26.8 million on its opening day (Friday, including previews), and its total increased by approximately 37% to $72.1 million over the three-day weekend.

Minions: Rise of the Crew grossed $48 million in its opening weekend (including $10.75 million in previews) and $107 million over the three-day weekend. This is a return of approximately 45%. The horror film “Five Nights at Freddy’s” is a hit, grossing $39.4 million on its opening day ($10.3 million including previews) and $80 million over the weekend. This is 49% of the box office, which is a high figure considering the genre.

Since the Minecraft movie is a family film, its opening day gross is expected to be 40-45%. The film is expected to earn between $75 million and $90 million in its opening weekend, while its first day gross will be between $30 million and $40.5 million. Also include the $9 million earned from Thursday previews, which is based on previous calculations using the Minion multiplier (4.47 * $9 million = $40.23 million), and if previews are included, it is likely to be around $35-40 million.

World Opening Day Global Market Prediction

The predictions are not very accurate, but we can make an estimate based on the weekend figures. International sales for the opening weekend are expected to be between $70 million and $85 million, domestic revenue is estimated to be between $65 million and $80 million, and worldwide revenue is estimated to be between $135 million and $150 million. Assuming a 40% first-day revenue, foreign parts could have opening day revenue between $28 million and $34 million. Adding in a domestic gross of between $35–40 million, the opening day global gross would be approximately $63–74 million.

Factors Affecting Performance.

Many factors can affect these figures. The film was released this summer, and according to Comscore, elementary, middle, and high school students were given a 14% discount on ticket prices, making it a big draw for family audiences. The combination of Jason Momoa and Jack Black’s star power and the Minecraft brand will surely attract a large audience.

However, previous X posts, such as this one by @GlobalBoxOff, have stated that “poor WoM will hurt Minecraft,” meaning that mixed reviews will hurt the average player. However, the strength of the brand and the initial excitement shown in preview attendance numbers are likely to mitigate the negative impact of opening day.

Comparative Analysis with Similar Films

Film	Thursday Previews	Opening Day (Including Previews)	Opening Weekend (3-Day)
Sonic the Hedgehog 2	$6.25M	$26.8M	$72.1M
Minions: The Rise of Gru	$10.75M	$48M	$107M
Five Nights at Freddy’s	$10.3M	$39.4M	$80M
A Minecraft Movie (Proj.)	$9M	$35M-$40M	$75M-$90M

Conclusion – A Minecraft Movie Box Office Day 1

Overall, according to industry figures and comparative analysis, Minecraft: The Movie is expected to gross between $35 million and $40 million on its first day in the United States, with Thursday expected to top $9 million. According to domestic and international box office collection estimates, the film is expected to gross between $63 million and $74 million worldwide in its opening weekend. While there may be initial challenges due to mixed reviews, the film’s strong branding and strategic timing of release offer the potential for a strong opening and success.